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文档润色流和知识库构建流/claude-scholar/skills/results-report/references/EVIDENCE-PROPAGATION.md

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+# Evidence Propagation
+
+Use this file to keep `results-analysis` outputs aligned with the final report.
+
+## Mapping rule
+
+- `analysis-report.md` -> main findings and narrative summary
+- `analysis-report.md#Claim Candidates` -> claim wording, uncertainty, and decisions that can be carried into the report
+- `stats-appendix.md` -> test choice, uncertainty, effect size, correction rule
+- `figure-catalog.md` -> figure purpose and per-figure interpretation scaffolding
+- figure files -> visual evidence cited in `Figure-by-Figure Interpretation`
+
+## Minimum statistical carry-over
+
+Every strong claim in a results report should preserve:
+- sample size or run/seed count,
+- metric definition,
+- uncertainty summary,
+- test name,
+- effect size when relevant,
+- multiple-comparison handling when relevant.
+
+## Unsupported claim rule
+
+If the analysis bundle does not support a claim strongly enough, keep the claim tentative and say why.
+Do not upgrade a suggestive result into a decisive conclusion during report writing.
+
+## Claim candidate carry-over
+
+Every claim carried from `results-analysis` should preserve:
+- the source evidence,
+- the allowed wording,
+- the forbidden stronger wording,
+- uncertainty,
+- next check or decision.
+
+Do not convert `speculative` or `observed` claims into decisive conclusions. The `What Changed Our Belief` section should cite either a Claim Candidate or an Evidence Record, not only free-form prose.