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2026-06-11 03:33:14 +08:00

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Evidence Propagation

Use this file to keep results-analysis outputs aligned with the final report.

Mapping rule

  • analysis-report.md -> main findings and narrative summary
  • analysis-report.md#Claim Candidates -> claim wording, uncertainty, and decisions that can be carried into the report
  • stats-appendix.md -> test choice, uncertainty, effect size, correction rule
  • figure-catalog.md -> figure purpose and per-figure interpretation scaffolding
  • figure files -> visual evidence cited in Figure-by-Figure Interpretation

Minimum statistical carry-over

Every strong claim in a results report should preserve:

  • sample size or run/seed count,
  • metric definition,
  • uncertainty summary,
  • test name,
  • effect size when relevant,
  • multiple-comparison handling when relevant.

Unsupported claim rule

If the analysis bundle does not support a claim strongly enough, keep the claim tentative and say why. Do not upgrade a suggestive result into a decisive conclusion during report writing.

Claim candidate carry-over

Every claim carried from results-analysis should preserve:

  • the source evidence,
  • the allowed wording,
  • the forbidden stronger wording,
  • uncertainty,
  • next check or decision.

Do not convert speculative or observed claims into decisive conclusions. The What Changed Our Belief section should cite either a Claim Candidate or an Evidence Record, not only free-form prose.